JTWC Patrick Hoareau | Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

Météo.Cyclones.World@PH

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Southern Hemisphere: very busy: 5 systems being monitored! 30/15utc updates - 01/30/2021 - 21:15

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 15P(ANA). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 15P, INVEST 94P, INVEST 99P AND INVEST 98S. 2021 JAN 30 1615UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #15P #ANA...

SOUTH PACIFIC: 15P(ANA) crossing Viti Levu/Fiji within 24hours while intensifying, Invest 94P and Invest 99P updates,30/09utc - 01/30/2021 - 15:25

15P(ANA). WARNING 2.FORECAST TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT TURNS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) EXTENSION TO THE EAST,...

29/06utc, Updates on Invest 96P, 94P, 98S and the remnants of 13S(NONAME). - 01/29/2021 - 13:20

29/0530UTC.JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 96P. INVEST 94P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM WHILE INVEST 98S IS NOW UNDER CLOSE WATCH. THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) ARE STILL...

SHEM: Invest 96P likely to develop within 24hours, Invest 94P still over-land, remnants of 13S still monitored, 28/18utc update - 01/28/2021 - 23:30

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON THE REMNANTS OF 13S(NONAME) AND INVEST 96P. INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 28 1830UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE...

SHEM: 13S remains under close watch, Invest 94P still over Cape York, Invest 96P slowly consolidating East of Vanuatu, 28/06ut update - 01/28/2021 - 11:55

28/0530UTC. 13S(NONAME) REMAINS UNDER CLOSE WATCH FOR ANY SIGNS OF RE-INTENSIFICATION. INVEST 94P IS STILL OVER-LAND OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA. INVEST 96P REMAINS MEDIUM AND UNDER CLOSE SURVEILLANCE...

Southern HEM: 13S may intensify after 48hours, localised heavy rain with Invest 94P over-land, Invest 96P under close watch - 01/27/2021 - 12:10

JTWC HAS BEEN ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS AND 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS FOR 13S(NONAME). INVEST 96P HAS BEEN UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS. 2021 JAN 27 #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE TC #13S...

Southern Hemisphere: 13S still struggling, remnants of 12S(ELOISE) still tracked while Invest 94P is under close watch over the GOC - 01/26/2021 - 07:30

JTWC IS STILL ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 13S(NONAME).3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 13S . THE REMNANTS OF 12S(ELOISE) ARE STILL TRACKED WHILE WELL IN-LAND OVER SOUTHERN AFRICA....

12S(ELOISE): Final Warning. Made landfall 15km Southeast of Nova Sofala/MOZ with estimated 205km/h gusts - 01/23/2021 - 13:50

WARNING 13/FINAL. TC 12S(ELOISE) MADE LANDFALL APPRX 15KM SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SOFALA OR 30KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BEIRA WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90KNOTS GUSTING TO 110KNOTS, US/CATEGORY 2. TC #12S...

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone 12S(ELOISE) is making landfall 20km South of Beira with 200km/h gusts, 23/03utc update - 01/23/2021 - 07:25

TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED AT 23/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 20KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BEIRA/MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 21 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CYCLONE IS MAKING...

Cyclone 12S(ELOISE), US/Category 1, still intensifying, making landfall very close to Beira/MOZ within 6/9hours - 01/23/2021 - 02:10

WARNING 12. AT 22/18UTC LOCATED APPRX 115KM EAST NORTHEAST OF BEIRA/MOZAMBIQUE WITH ESTIMATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75KNOTS. RECENT TREND INDICATES INTENSIFICATION IS STILL LIKELY WITH PGTW(JTWC)...

12S(ELOISE) has now reached Cyclone Category 1 US, forecast to intensify while bearing down on Beira/MOZ, 22/09utc update - 01/22/2021 - 13:40

WARNING 11. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/FMEE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.0(65 KNOTS). HOWEVER, A 220251Z SENTINEL-1B PASS INDICATES HIGHER SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KNOTS OVER...

SOUTH INDIAN: 3 numbered systems by the JTWC, 12S(ELOISE), 13S and 14S, 22/03utc updates - 01/22/2021 - 07:20

2021 JAN 22 02UTC TC #13S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN As of 00:00 UTC Jan 22, 2021: WARNING 3 Location: 13.3°S 97.5°E Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h) Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Minimum Central Pressure: 997...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 93S is now 13S(NONAME), 12S(ELOISE) is over the MOZ Channel,Invest 92S still under close watch,21/03utc update - 01/21/2021 - 10:15

13S(NONAME). WARNING 1. FORECAST TO TRACK LESS THAN 50KM TO THE SOUTH OF WEST ISLAND/COCOS ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT HOURS.PEAK INTENSITY OF 55KNOTS IS FORECAST BY 96H. COCOS ISLAND INDICATED WESTERLY...

SOUTH INDIAN: Invest 92S and Invest 93S: high chances of development, TCFA issued, 20/15utc updates - 01/20/2021 - 20:45

20/15UTC. INVEST 92S &INVEST 93S ARE UP-GRADED TO HIGH. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR EACH AREA. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR BOTH...

SOUTH INDIAN: 2 new Invest Areas under close watch, 12S(ELOISE) re-intensification expected over the MOZ Channel - 01/20/2021 - 11:55

20/06UTC. THE JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 12S(ELOISE) ALONG WITH 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON 12S AND INVEST 93S. INVEST 92S &93S ARE UNDER CLOSE WATCH. 2021 JAN 20 07UTC TC #12S #ELOISE...

12S(ELOISE) made landfall apprx 50km south of Antalaha, forecast to re-intensify significantly once over the MOZ Channel - 01/20/2021 - 02:30

THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE USING LOW-CLOUD TRACING IN THE EIR LOOP AND TRIANGULATION FROM COASTAL WIND OBSERVATIONS, INCLUDING ANTALAHA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45KNOTS IS...

12S(ELOISE) should be making landfall near Antalaha by 12hours, forecast to intensify significantly once over the MOZ Channel - 01/19/2021 - 13:35

12S(ELOISE) IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MADAGASCAR BY 12H THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 30 KNOTS AS IT TRANSITS ACROSS THE RUGGED ISLAND TERRAIN BEFORE EXITING OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL IN...

10S(JOSHUA): Final warning, Peak Intensity was 45knots - 01/19/2021 - 11:45

19/03UTC. WARNING 8.THIS SYSTEM HAS FALLEN BELOW THE JTWC WARNING THRESHOLD OF 35KNOTS AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER. AS SUCH, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN...

Invest 90W under watch, Medium chances of development next 24hours - 01/19/2021 - 05:10

CENTER LOCATION AT 19/00UTC, APPRX 55KM WEST NORTHWEST OF TACLOBAN CITY. 2021 JAN 19 0050UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC INVEST #90W As of 00:00 UTC Jan 19, 2021: Location: 11.3°N 124.5°E Maximum Winds:...

11P(KIMI): Final Warning as the system is unravelling, Peak Intensity was 55knots - 01/19/2021 - 04:35

WARNING 8. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO RE-CONSOLIDATE. THE REMNANTS OF TC 11P WILL LIKELY DRIFT NORTHWARD WITH THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON...

10S(JOSHUA) is weakening due to dry air entrainment, 18/15utc update - 01/18/2021 - 20:55

10S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY 48H.THERE IS EVIDENCE OF SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR...

11P(KIMI) has weakened significantly for the past 6hours, 18/15utc update - 01/18/2021 - 20:30

THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK EQUATORWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH STEADY WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION ANTICIPATED BY 24H. DUE TO THE COMPLEX, EVOLVING STEERING INFLUENCES AND POOR MODEL AGREEMENT,...

11P(KIMI) is no longer forecast to intensify and make landfall, 18/09utc update - 01/18/2021 - 14:10

THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING AN EASTWARD TURN.WILL BECOME QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS WITH AN EQUATORWARD TRACK CHANGE BY 36H....

12S(ELOISE) intensifying steadily next 36hours and approaching Antalaha area, 18/09utc update - 01/18/2021 - 13:00

WARNING 3. FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN FLANK OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTRENCHED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH. 12S IS FORECAST TO...

11P(KIMI) is slowly approaching Townsville, 12S(ELOISE) is slowly intensifying and approaching NorthEast Madagascar,18/03utc update - 01/18/2021 - 07:45

THE JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 10S(JOSHUA) AND 12S(ELOISE) AND 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 11P(KIMI). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR THE 3 SYSTEMS.

Southern Hemisphere: 3 tropical systems being monitored, 10S(JOSHUA), 11P(KIMI) and recently numbered 12S(ELOISE) - 01/17/2021 - 13:25

THE JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON 10S(JOSHUA) AND 12S(ELOISE) AND 6HOURLY WARNINGS ON 11P(KIMI). 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR THE 3 SYSTEMS. 2021 JAN 17 0730UTC TC #10S...

South Pacific: 11P(KIMI) has developed rapidly into a midget cyclone apprx 200km to Cairns/Australia - 01/17/2021 - 08:05

2021 JAN 17 0330UTC TC #11P #KIMI #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN As of 00:00 UTC Jan 17, 2021: WARNING 1 Location: 15.1°S 146.4°E Maximum Winds: 45 kt ( 85km/h) Gusts: 55 kt ( 100km/h) Minimum Central...

Invest 90S is now TC 10S. A TCFA has been issued for Invest 99S, 16/00utc updates - 01/16/2021 - 07:15

INVEST #90S IS NOW TC 10S: LOCATED AT 16/00UTC APPRX 595KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. INVEST 99S: LOCATED AT 16/00UTC APPRX 875KM NORTH NORTHEAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND. 2021 JAN 16 0235UTC TC...

South Indian: 15/06utc updates on Invest 90S and Invest 99S, 99S may intensify significantly after 72hours and threaten Madagascar - 01/15/2021 - 13:11

INVEST 90S: LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPRX 420KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. INVEST 99S: LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPRX 1215KM NORTH NORTHEAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND. 2021 JAN 15 0830UTC INVEST #90S...

South Indian Ocean: Two areas under close watch, Invest 90S and Invest 99S - 01/14/2021 - 14:45

INVEST 90S: LOCATED AT 14/06UTC APPRX 150KM SOUTH SOUTH-WEST OF COCOS ISLAND. INVEST 99S: LOCATED AT 14/06UTC APPRX 1420KM EAST NORTH-EAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND. 2021 JAN 14 10UTC INVEST #90S...