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SHEM: 19S(FARAJI) close to Super Typhoon intensity, Invest 92P: up-graded to High, 08/15utc updates


19S(FARAJI). 08/15UTC 6H LOOP. ANIMATED IMAGERY DEPICT A COMPACT AND WELL ORGANIZED CYCLONE CLOSE TO SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AT 08/12UTC. ADT AND DVORAK NUMBERS POINT TO A STILL INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. NEXT COMPLETE BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 08/22UTC. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.


19S(FARAJI). 08/15UTC 6H LOOP. ANIMATED IMAGERY DEPICT A COMPACT AND WELL ORGANIZED CYCLONE CLOSE TO SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AT 08/12UTC. ADT AND DVORAK NUMBERS POINT TO A STILL INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. NEXT COMPLETE BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 08/22UTC. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.
19S(FARAJI). 08/15UTC 6H LOOP. ANIMATED IMAGERY DEPICT A COMPACT AND WELL ORGANIZED CYCLONE CLOSE TO SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AT 08/12UTC. ADT AND DVORAK NUMBERS POINT TO A STILL INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. NEXT COMPLETE BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 08/22UTC. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.
2021 FEB 08 1515UTC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
TC #19S #FARAJI  #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC Feb 08, 2021:
Location: 14.2°S 82.0°E
Maximum Winds: 125 kt ( 230km/h)
Gusts: 150 kt ( 280km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 933 mb
CATEGORY US: 4
INTENSIFYING
19S(FARAJI) LOCATED AT 08/12UTC APPROXIMATELY 1360 KM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 9 KM/H
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INVEST #92P #SOUTHPACIFICOCEAN
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC Feb 08, 2021:
Location: 16.9°S 179.8°E
Maximum Winds: 30 kt ( 55km/h)
Gusts: 40 kt ( 75km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 999 mb
LOCATED AT 08/12UTC APPROXIMATELY 270 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NADI, FIJI.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
 Météo974
M974World
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

INVEST 92P. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA).
INVEST 92P. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA).

INVEST 92P. 08/1450UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A BROAD AREA OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
INVEST 92P. 08/1450UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A BROAD AREA OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.

INVEST 92P. 080958UTC ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED ALONG THE NORTH-SOUTH AXIS AND CONTAINS 30-35 KNOTS WINDS IN THE CONVERGENT FLOW ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY, ALTHOUGH THE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE  ELONGATED CIRCULATION REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK (10-15 KNOTS).
INVEST 92P. 080958UTC ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED ALONG THE NORTH-SOUTH AXIS AND CONTAINS 30-35 KNOTS WINDS IN THE CONVERGENT FLOW ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY, ALTHOUGH THE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK (10-15 KNOTS).

INVEST 92P. NUMERICAL MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE CONVERGING ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK  WITH SUBSEQUENT CONSOLIDATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE  NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
INVEST 92P. NUMERICAL MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE CONVERGING ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SUBSEQUENT CONSOLIDATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

08/15UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON TC 19S(FARAJI). INVEST 92P IS UP-GRADED TO HIGH. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 19S AND 92P.
08/15UTC. JTWC IS ISSUING 12HOURLY WARNINGS ON TC 19S(FARAJI). INVEST 92P IS UP-GRADED TO HIGH. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE PROVIDED FOR 19S AND 92P.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Monday, February 8th 2021 à 19:50