INVEST 91W & INVEST 93S: MEDIUM CHANCES OF DEVELOPMENT NEXT 24HOURS.JTWC IS ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 93S AND ON THE REMNANTS OF 19S(FARAJI).
2021 FEB 15 0630UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC #SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE
INVEST #91W #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 6.8°N 139.9°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 580 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF PALAU.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM.
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REMNANTS #19S #FARAJI #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 19.9°S 72.9°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009mb
REMNANTS OF 19S(FARAJI) LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 990 KM EAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #93S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN #MOZAMBIQUECHANNEL
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 22.5°S 33.2°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb
LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 265 KM NORTHWEST OF MAXIXE/MOZAMBIQUE.
OVER-LAND
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Patrick Hoareau
Météo974
M974World
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
INVEST #91W #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 6.8°N 139.9°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 580 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF PALAU.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM.
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REMNANTS #19S #FARAJI #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 19.9°S 72.9°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009mb
REMNANTS OF 19S(FARAJI) LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 990 KM EAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #93S #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN #MOZAMBIQUECHANNEL
UPDATE
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 15, 2021:
Location: 22.5°S 33.2°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb
LOCATED AT 15/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 265 KM NORTHWEST OF MAXIXE/MOZAMBIQUE.
OVER-LAND
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Patrick Hoareau
Météo974
M974World
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
INVEST 91W. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES INVEST 91W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR NORTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 91W WILL TRACK WESTWARD WITH POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE 2-3 DAYS.
REMNANTS OF 19S(FARAJI). NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE REMNANTS APPROACHING THE MASCARENE ISLANDS NEXT 48H.
INVEST 93S. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PREVIOUSLY POSITIONED OVER THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED AND SHIFTED TO THE NORTHWEST ALLOWING POLEWARD OUTFLOW TO IMPROVE. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 93S WILL TRACK EASTWARD AND EMERGE OVER WARM WATER (29-30C) IN 36-48 HOURS WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH. CONSEQUENTLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY QUICKLY OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.
