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JTWC Patrick Hoareau

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B named YAAS, will be intensifying significantly next 48hours and is expected to make landfall over Northern Odisha shortly after 48h, 24/09utc update - 05/24/2021 - 13:55

TC 02B(YAAS). 24/09UTC. 6H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING BUT BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A WIDE SWATH OF DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE...

BAY OF BENGAL: TC 02B is consolidating from a monsoon depression, forecast to intensify significantly next 48hours before landfall Northeast of Paradip, 24/03utc update - 05/24/2021 - 07:15

TC 02B. 24/0230UTC. 2H30 LOOP.PREVIOUSLY TC 02B CARRIED THE SIGNATURE AND BROAD WIND FIELDS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION, BUT RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SHOW...

NORTH INDIAN: Invest 93B : Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert, likely to consolidate and intensify quickly next 24/48hours, 22/18utc update - 05/23/2021 - 01:08

INVEST 93B. 22/19UTC. 9H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 221024Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) made landfall near Jafarabad/Gujarat, India, Cyclone got better organized just prior to landfall, Final Warning at 17/21utc - 05/18/2021 - 01:15

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN...

01A(TAUKTAE) still a dengerous US/Category 3 Cyclone is forecast to make landfall within 12hours near Jafrabad/Gujarat, 17/15utc update - 05/17/2021 - 18:45

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/14UTC. 12H LOOP. 01A REMAINS AN INTENSE SYSTEM WITH TOP GUSTS STILL CURRENTLY EXCEEDING 200KM/H CLOSE TO ITS EYE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR JAFRABAD/GUJARAT WITHIN...

01A(TAUKTAE) is now a powerful US/CAT 4 Cyclone, apprx 145km to Mumbai and heading North towards Jafrabad/Gujarat, 17/03utc update - 05/17/2021 - 07:40

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/02UTC. 12H LOOP.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO BE SYMMETRICAL AND COMPACT DESPITE HOURS OF PERSISTENT LAND INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERN...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) has under-gone rapid intensification, now US/CAT 3, forecast landfall between Veraval and Mahuva/India by 24/36hours, 16/15utc update - 05/16/2021 - 19:30

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 16/14UTC. 12H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) ALONG WITH ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS A DEEP COMPACT SYSTEM WITH A RAGGED 31KM EYE. 2021 MAY...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) now a US/Category 1,rapid intensification likely next 24hours, forecast landfall near Vanakbara/India by apprx 48h, 16/03utc update - 05/16/2021 - 07:50

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING SYSTEM THAT HAS BECOME MORE COMPACT. ALSO, FEEDER BANDS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY HAVE WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) is intensifying and is forecast to reach US/CAT 3 within 72hours while moving northward, 15/09utc update - 05/15/2021 - 14:20

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). IMPROVING SATELLITE SIGNATURE. Eumetsat/PH. 2021 MAY 15 0945UTC TC #01A #TAUKTAE #NORTHINDIAN #ARABIANSEA WARNING 5 As of 06:00 UTC May 15, 2021: Location: 13.5°N 73.3°E Maximum...

TC 01A(TAUKTAE) is forecast to rapidly intensify after 24hours up to US/CAT 3 while approaching India/Paskistan border area, 15/03utc update - 05/15/2021 - 07:10

TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 15/02UTC. CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTENSIFYING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 01A IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AFTER 24HOURS. INSAT3-D. IMD. PH. 2021 MAY 15 0235UTC...

03W tracking over Mindanao as a 25knot system// Invest 92A is now TC 01A: forecast to rapidly intensify to US/CAT 3 by 72hours, 14/09utc update - 05/14/2021 - 13:55

TC 01A. IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AFTER 24H WITH A PEAK OF 110 KNOTS/CAT 3 BY 72H. 2021 MAY 14 0910UTC TD #03W #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC WARNING 7 As of 06:00 UTC May 14, 2021: Location: 7.8°N...

TD 03W making landfall over Mindanao and weakening// Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued for Invest 92A - 05/13/2021 - 19:10

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA) ISSUED FOR INVEST 92A OVER THE ARABIAN SEA APPROXIMATELY 980KM SOUTH OF MUMBAI. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST HIGH DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM ONCE IT MOVES...

Western North Pacific: 03W is a compact and intensifying Tropical Storm, approaching Mindanao, 13/03utc update - 05/13/2021 - 07:30

TS 03W. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONSOLIDATING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE...

Western North Pacific: Invest 96W is now TD 03W, forecast to intensify next 24hours while approaching Mindanao, 12/21utc update - 05/13/2021 - 00:20

TD 03W. 12/20UTC. 5H LOOP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED AND DEVELOPED WELL DEFINED SHALLOW BANDING FEATURES WHICH ARE WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A...

The JTWC is monitoring two Invest Areas: 96W and 92A. 12/00utc update - 05/12/2021 - 06:45

12/00UTC. OVER THE NEXT 24HOURS INVEST 96W IS ASSESSED AS LOW: LOW CHANCES OF HAVING 25KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER. INVEST 96A REMAINS MEDIUM: MEDIUM CHANCES OF HAVING 35KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER....

NORTH INDIAN: Invest 92A up-graded to Medium, expected to consolidate within 24/48hours, 11/00utc update - 05/11/2021 - 06:05

INVEST 92A IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM: MODERATE CHANCES OF HAVING SUSTAINED WINDS REACHING 35KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTER WITHIN 24HOURS. 2021 MAY 11 0140UTC #NORTHINDIAN #ARABIANSEA INVEST 92A ...

24/09utc update: former STY 02W(SURIGAE) now subtropical, Invest 96P subtropical over the South Pacific, new burst of convection for 29S(JOBO) SE of Dar es Salaam - 04/24/2021 - 13:35

INVEST 96P. 24/0530UTC. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WITH 35KNOT WINDS JUST NORTH OF 30°SOUTH. CLICK TO ANIMATE. 2021 APR 24 0900UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC SS #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 44 As of 06:00 UTC Apr 24,...

TY 02W(SURIGAE), CAT1, has entered a high vertical wind shear zone// 29S(JOBO): recent convective bloom observed, 23/03utc update - 04/23/2021 - 07:56

29S(JOBO). 23/03UTC. 9H LOOP. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SHOW RAPID UPS AND DOWNS. A RECENT BLOOM HAS BEEN OBSERVED APPRX 575KM SOUTHEAST OF DAR ES SALAAM/TANZANIA. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF...

TY 02W(SURIGAE) still intense since the 16th, intensity on the decline though// 29S(JOBO): intensity has peaked near 55knots, small-sized system, 22/03utc update - 04/22/2021 - 08:55

2021 APR 22 0345UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TY #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 35 As of 00:00 UTC Apr 22, 2021: Location: 19.6°N 125.0°E Maximum Winds: 100 kt (185km/h) Gusts: 130 kt ( 230km/h) Minimum...

TY 02W(SURIGAE) remains powerful,CAT4 with a large 120km eye//Invest 95S is now TC 29S(JOBO), rapidly intensifying North of Madagascar, 21/03utc update - 04/21/2021 - 07:40

02W(SURIGAE). 21/0230UTC. 3H30 LOOP. 2021 APR 21 0230UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TY #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 31 As of 00:00 UTC Apr 21, 2021: Location: 17.4°N 125.2°E Maximum Winds: 120 kt (220km/h)...

WNP: TY 02W(SURIGAE) still a CAT4(115knots)/ SIndian: Invest 95S: likely to intensify within the next 24hours(TCFA), 20/09utc update - 04/20/2021 - 13:46

02W(SURIGAE) AND INVEST 95S. 20/09UTC. 5H LOOP. 2021 APR 20 0855UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TY #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 28 As of 06:00 UTC Apr 20, 2021: Location: 15.9°N 126.0°E Maximum Winds: 115 kt...

Western North Pacific: TY 02W(SURIGAE) is still a powerful CAT 4 and slow-moving, forecast to weaken more rapidly after 48hours, 19/21utc update - 04/20/2021 - 01:20

2021 APR 19 2050UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TY #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 26 As of 18:00 UTC Apr 19, 2021: Location: 15.1°N 126.3°E Maximum Winds: 115 kt (215km/h) Gusts: 140 kt ( 260km/h) Minimum...

WNP: 02W(SURIGAE) is still a powerful 125knot/typhoon ( CAT 4), short-term re-intensification possible, still slow-moving apprx 600km East of Manila,19/03utc update - 04/19/2021 - 07:10

02W(SURIGAE). 19/0130UTC. 3H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXTREMELY INTENSE INVARIABLY SYMMETRICAL SYSTEM AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST MAINTAINING WELL-DEFINED...

Super TY 02W(SURIGAE): extreme peak intensity of 165knots(CAT 5): strongest April Super Typhoon since (at least) 1959, 18/03utc update - 04/18/2021 - 06:45

02W(SURIGAE). 18/01UTC. 23H ANIMATION. SUPER TYPHOON 02W REACHED AN ESTIMATED PEAK INTENSITY OF 165KNOTS/CAT 5 AT 17/18UTC. 02W IS THE STRONGEST WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC SUPER TYPHOON SINCE 24W(HALONG)...

WNP: Super Typhoon 02W(SURIGAE) is a very powerful 155knots/ CAT 5 cyclone, showing an impressive satellite signature, 17/15utc update - 04/17/2021 - 19:05

2021 APR 17 1420UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC SUPER TY #02W #SURIGAE WARNING 17 As of 12:00 UTC Apr 17, 2021: Location: 12.0°N 129.2°E Maximum Winds: 155 kt (290km/h) Gusts: 190 kt ( 350km/h)...

Western North Pacific: 02W(SURIGAE) strong typhoon, CAT 4, may intensify to "Super Typhoon" level within 24hours, 17/03utc update - 04/17/2021 - 07:40

02W(SURIGAE). 17/0305UTC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A 22 KM EYE WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, LENDING GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE...

Western North Pacific: TY 02W(SURIGAE) now a CAT2(90knots), forecast to peak at 120knots(CAT 4) by 48h,low confidence in the track forecast after 72h,16/15utc update - 04/16/2021 - 19:15

02W(SURIGAE). 16/14UTC. 6 HOUR LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE POPPING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. 2021 APR 16 1425UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC TY #02W #SURIGAE...

Western North Pacific: Typhoon 02W(SURIGAE), US/CAT 1 is forecast to intensify significantly within 48hours and peak in 72hours, 16/03utc update - 04/16/2021 - 07:15

02W(SURIGAE). ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING HAS NOW COMPLETELY WRAPPED AROUND THE OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). CLICK TO ANIMATE IF...

Western North Pacific: 02W(SURIGAE) intensifying and slow-moving, forecast to peak at US/CAT 4 by 96h, 15/03utc update - 04/15/2021 - 07:10

02W(SURIGAE). 15/02UTC. 3H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION...

Western North Pacific: TS 02W named SURIGAE is intensifying while being slow-moving, could reach 115knots(CAT 4) by 120hours, 14/03utc update - 04/14/2021 - 06:55

02W(SURIGAE). 14/01UTC. 12H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF...
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