TC 02B(YAAS). 26/0252UTC.RADAR ANIMATION. PARADIP. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR BALASORE. ANIMATION COURTESY OF IMD.
2021 MAY 26 0255UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 9
As of 00:00 UTC May 26, 2021:
Location: 21.1°N 87.4°E
Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h)
Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 mb
CATEGORY US: 1
LANDFALL WITHIN 3/6 HOURS
LOCATED AT 26/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 60KM SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 9
As of 00:00 UTC May 26, 2021:
Location: 21.1°N 87.4°E
Maximum Winds: 65 kt ( 120km/h)
Gusts: 80 kt ( 150km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 mb
CATEGORY US: 1
LANDFALL WITHIN 3/6 HOURS
LOCATED AT 26/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 60KM SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC 02B(YAAS). WARNING 9 ISSUED AT 26/03UTC.ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 02B IS NOW UNDER AN AREA OF WEAKER OUTFLOW ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS) WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GRADUAL WEAKENING AS THE STORM INTERACTS WITH THE LAND. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE ESTUARY OF BUDHABALANGA RIVER, INDIA, THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY DECAY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE RUGGED TERRAIN AND FULLY DISSIPATE BY 36H.
TC 02B(YAAS).NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH A CROSS-TRACK SPREAD OF 30KM AT 12H, SPREADING WIDER TO 100KM BY 24H MAINLY DUE TO THE AFUM, THE SOLE OUTLIER TO THE RIGHT OF THE MODEL ENVELOPE, LENDING OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK THAT IS LAID JUST TO THE LEFT OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET AFUM.
TC 02B(YAAS). WARNING 9. FORECAST LANDFALL AREA NEAR BALASORE/ODISHA WITH 65KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS.
TC 02B(YAAS). 26/0114UTC. DMSP VISIBLE ENHANCED.MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH HAS MAINTAINED AN OVERALL CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE, ALBEIT WITH EARLY SIGNS OF DECAY DUE TO PROXIMITY TO SHORE.
TC 02B(YAAS). 26/0114UTC. DMSP ENHANCED INFRA-RED.
