ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE. THE SLOW CONSOLIDATION IS ALSO EVIDENT ON RECENT TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER ANIMATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH CONDUCIVE, WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE VALUES AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FURTHERMORE, A POINT SOURCE DIRECTLY OVER THE ANALYZED POSITION REVEALS SUPPORTIVE, ROBUST RADIAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT THAT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN THE ANIMATED EIR LOOP.
2021 JUNE 18 1435UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #94W
UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC June18, 2021:
Location: 6.0°N 153.7°E
Maximum Winds: 15/20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
LOCATED AT 18/12UTC APPROXIMATELY APPROXIMATELY 245 KM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
INVEST #94W
UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC June18, 2021:
Location: 6.0°N 153.7°E
Maximum Winds: 15/20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
LOCATED AT 18/12UTC APPROXIMATELY APPROXIMATELY 245 KM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
INVEST 94W. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD GUAM AS IT SLOWLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INVEST 94W. ECMWF.
118/14UTC: MEDIUM CHANCES OF DEVELOPING 25KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS.
18/00UTC.
18/00UTC.
