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05W(KOGUMA) peaked over the Golf of Tonkin, now Southeast of Hanoi// Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert for Invest 92E, 12/21utc updates



2021 JUNE 12 2025UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
TD #05W #KOGUMA
WARNING 4/
As of 18:00 UTC June12, 2021:
Location: 20.5°N 106.5°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 999 mb
WEAKENING OVER LAND
LOCATED AT 12/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 85 KM SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
17 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
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INVEST #92E #EASTERNORTHPACIFIC
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 18:00 UTC June12, 2021:
Location: 11.8°N 123.3°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Gusts: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH.
LOCATED AT 12/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 2380 KM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 24 KM/H.

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

05W BRIEFLY REACHED 35KNOTS OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN AND WAS NAMED KOGUMA.
05W BRIEFLY REACHED 35KNOTS OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN AND WAS NAMED KOGUMA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, LOCAL WEATHER RADAR ANALYSIS AND THE 121730Z PGTW
SATELLITE FIX INDICATES TD 05W HAS MADE LANDFALL. WEATHER OBSERVATIONS FROM HAIPHONG AND THAI BINH, VIETNAM SHOW A RECENT DROP FOLLOWED BY A RISE IN AIR PRESSURE, INDICATIVE OF STORM CENTER
PASSAGE. THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 25 KNOTS CONSISTENT WITH THE WEAKENING STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM. TD 05W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ANDDISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
JMV FILE
0521060918 170N1160E  15
0521061000 172N1156E  15
0521061006 173N1149E  15
0521061012 175N1146E  15
0521061018 178N1140E  15
0521061100 178N1134E  15
0521061106 178N1127E  20
0521061112 179N1122E  20
0521061118 180N1115E  20
0521061200 182N1100E  25
0521061206 190N1088E  25
0521061212 200N1073E  35
0521061218 205N1065E  25
NNNN

05W(KOGUMA).
05W(KOGUMA).

INVEST 92E. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEPENING CONVECTION  CONSOLIDATING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 1222Z 91H GHS SSMIS  MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS STRONG CONVECTIVE BANDS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHWEST  AND NORTH OF THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS  LOCATED IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTLFOW.
INVEST 92E. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEPENING CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 1222Z 91H GHS SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS STRONG CONVECTIVE BANDS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTH OF THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTLFOW.

INVEST 92E.
INVEST 92E.

12/15UTC. INVEST 92E.
12/15UTC. INVEST 92E.

12/21UTC. JTWC ISSUED THE FINAL WARNING ON 05W(KOGUMA) AT 12/21UTC. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL ISSUED.
12/21UTC. JTWC ISSUED THE FINAL WARNING ON 05W(KOGUMA) AT 12/21UTC. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL ISSUED.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Sunday, June 13th 2021 à 00:55