INVEST 94W. 13/03UTC. 3H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION PARTIALLY OBSCURING A LOW LEVEL CIRUCLATION CENTER. A 122137 SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS MINOR LOWER LEVEL BANDING AND DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), DUAL- CHANNEL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
2021 APR 13 0345UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
INVEST #94W
TCFA RE-ISSUED(2nd)
As of 00:00 UTC Apr 13, 2021:
Location: 7.3°N 138.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb
LOCATED AT 13/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 250KM SOUTH OF YAP. MOVING WESTWARD AT 22 KM/H.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
INVEST #94W
TCFA RE-ISSUED(2nd)
As of 00:00 UTC Apr 13, 2021:
Location: 7.3°N 138.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 mb
LOCATED AT 13/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 250KM SOUTH OF YAP. MOVING WESTWARD AT 22 KM/H.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
13/0330UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(TCFA).SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS LIKELY TO REACH 25KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24H.
INVEST 94W. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN FOR THE NEXT 48-96 HOURS. MODEL ENSEMBLE: ECMWF