JTWC IS ISSUING THE FINAL WARNING AT 06/03UTC ON 07W. 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL ISSUED. INVEST 97W IS UP-GRADED TO HIGH: HIGH CHANCES OF DEVELOPING 25KNOT WINDS NEAR ITS CENTER WITHIN 24HOURS. 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE ISSUED ON 97W.
2021 JULY 06 01UTC #WESTERNNORTHPACIFIC
TD #07W
WARNING 6/FINAL
As of 00:00 UTC July 06, 2021:
Location: 22.3°N 119.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
WEAKENING
LOCATED AT 06/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 110KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
-------------------------------------------------------------
INVEST #97W
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC July 06, 2021:
Location: 15.3°N 111.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
LOCATED AT 06/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 380KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TD #07W
WARNING 6/FINAL
As of 00:00 UTC July 06, 2021:
Location: 22.3°N 119.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
WEAKENING
LOCATED AT 06/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 110KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
-------------------------------------------------------------
INVEST #97W
TCFA/UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC July 06, 2021:
Location: 15.3°N 111.5°E
Maximum Winds: 18/23 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
LOCATED AT 06/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 380KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS: HIGH
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
JTWC PH
ILES SOEURS
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TD 07W. FINAL WARNING ISSUED AT 06/03UTC.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THAT THE PREVIOUS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 07W HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED, REVEALING A WEAK, EXPANSIVE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 060003Z ASCAT-A IMAGE DEPICTING A BROAD, WEAK WIND FIELD CONFIRMS THAT THE LLC RAPIDLY DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. FURTHERMORE, THE ASCAT SHOWS MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 KNOTS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM, LENDING MEDIUM CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL INTENSITY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY PGTW AND KNES DVORAK INTENSITY FIXES WITH DATA T-NUMBERS OF T1.0-1.5 (25 KNOTS) AND A 062100Z SURFACE OBSERVATION OF 19 KNOTS AT HENGHUN (160 KM EAST OF THE INITIAL POSITION). THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST CHINA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
07W DID NOT MAKE IT TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY(35KNOTS). PEAK INTENSITY WAS 30KNOTS.
0721070306 111N1338E 20
0721070312 117N1333E 20
0721070318 127N1324E 20
0721070400 135N1313E 20
0721070406 144N1301E 20
0721070412 156N1286E 20
0721070418 171N1270E 25
0721070500 182N1253E 30
0721070506 195N1235E 30
0721070512 207N1219E 30
0721070518 216N1203E 30
0721070600 223N1193E 20
0721070306 111N1338E 20
0721070312 117N1333E 20
0721070318 127N1324E 20
0721070400 135N1313E 20
0721070406 144N1301E 20
0721070412 156N1286E 20
0721070418 171N1270E 25
0721070500 182N1253E 30
0721070506 195N1235E 30
0721070512 207N1219E 30
0721070518 216N1203E 30
0721070600 223N1193E 20
TD 07W. GUIDANCE
INVEST 97W. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED AT 06/0030UTC.ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 052108Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED ALONG THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LLC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31C).
INVEST 97W. GLOBAL DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND TRACKS TOWARDS HAINAN.
06/02UTC. TD 07W IS FALLING APART. INVEST 97W IS APPROACHING HAINAN AND THEN VIETNAM.
NORTH ATLANTIC. WARNING 23 ISSUED AT 06/03UTC. TS 05L(ELSA) HAS CROSSED CUBA. FORECAST TO INTENSIFY A BIT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE WEST OF FLORIDA.
0521062812 80N 284W 20
0521062818 80N 300W 20
0521062900 80N 316W 20
0521062906 80N 332W 20
0521062912 80N 348W 25
0521062918 80N 360W 25
0521063000 82N 376W 25
0521063006 86N 393W 25
0521063012 90N 411W 30
0521063018 94N 428W 30
0521070100 93N 453W 30
0521070106 94N 477W 35
0521070112 99N 502W 40
0521070118 107N 526W 40
0521070200 114N 547W 45
0521070206 123N 573W 50
0521070212 130N 598W 65
0521070218 138N 624W 75
0521070300 145N 651W 70
0521070306 157N 679W 65
0521070312 166N 703W 65
0521070318 173N 727W 60
0521070400 176N 744W 55
0521070406 180N 755W 55
0521070412 185N 765W 50
0521070418 193N 776W 50
0521070500 201N 786W 55
0521070506 207N 796W 55
0521070512 213N 808W 55
0521070518 221N 815W 50
0521070600 230N 820W 50
06/00UTC.
06/00UTC.
