DEEPENING CENTRAL CONVECTION. CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.
TC 07S(CHALANE) LOCATED AT 12UTC APPROXIMATELY 385KM EAST NORTHEAST OF BEIRA/MOZAMBIQUE HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 24KM/H FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. DVORAK ANALYSIS FROM PGTW IS 3.5/3.5 AT 12UTC AND SATCON IS AT 56KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING.IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR BEIRA SHORTLY AFTER 12H AS A US/CATEGORY 1 CYCLONE. BUT RECENT TREND MAY INDICATE A POSSIBLE RAPID INTENSIFICATION SPAN.
WARNING 11 WILL BE POSTED NEAR 29/21UTC.
2020 DEC 29 14UTC #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
TC #07S #CHALANE
UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC Dec 29, 2020:
Location: 19.6°S 38.5°E
Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h)
Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 990 mb
INTENSIFYING
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS.
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
THE SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING.IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR BEIRA SHORTLY AFTER 12H AS A US/CATEGORY 1 CYCLONE. BUT RECENT TREND MAY INDICATE A POSSIBLE RAPID INTENSIFICATION SPAN.
WARNING 11 WILL BE POSTED NEAR 29/21UTC.
2020 DEC 29 14UTC #SOUTHINDIANOCEAN
TC #07S #CHALANE
UPDATE
As of 12:00 UTC Dec 29, 2020:
Location: 19.6°S 38.5°E
Maximum Winds: 55 kt ( 100km/h)
Gusts: 70 kt ( 130km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 990 mb
INTENSIFYING
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS.
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
29/12UTC POSITION INIDCATED ON THE MAP.
29/1130UTC. MICROWAVE SIGNATURE IS ONCE AGAIN CONVINCING WITH A BUILDING EYE FEATURE.
INTENSITY GUIDANCE. HWRF AND CTCX ARE STILL VERY AGGRESSIVE.
