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TC 01A(TAUKTAE) made landfall near Jafarabad/Gujarat, India, Cyclone got better organized just prior to landfall, Final Warning at 17/21utc


ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE BD ENHANCEMENT. THE SYSTEM WAS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE SHORELINE AT THE 171800Z HOUR, VERY NEAR TO JAFARABAD, INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE 37KM EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL IS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS/US CAT 3 WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE, REFLECTING THE IMPROVED INFRARED SIGNATURE, COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND WARMER EYE TEMPERATURE.


TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/20UTC. 9H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED  JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE BD ENHANCEMENT. THE SYSTEM WAS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE SHORELINE AT THE 171800Z HOUR, VERY NEAR TO JAFARABAD, INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE 37KM EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL IS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS/US CAT 3 WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE, REFLECTING THE IMPROVED INFRARED SIGNATURE, COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND WARMER EYE TEMPERATURE.
TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/20UTC. 9H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE BD ENHANCEMENT. THE SYSTEM WAS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE SHORELINE AT THE 171800Z HOUR, VERY NEAR TO JAFARABAD, INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE 37KM EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL IS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS/US CAT 3 WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE, REFLECTING THE IMPROVED INFRARED SIGNATURE, COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND WARMER EYE TEMPERATURE.
2021 MAY 17 2115UTC  #NORTHINDIAN 
TC #01A #TAUKTAE #ARABIANSEA
WARNING 15
As of 18:00 UTC May 17, 2021:
Location: 20.8°N 71.3°E
Maximum Winds: 110 kt ( 205km/h)
Gusts: 135 kt ( 250km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 942 mb
CATEGORY US: 3
RE-INTENSIFIED BRIEFLY UP TO LANDFALL NEAR JAFARABAD/GUJARAT,INDIA. WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY WHILE PUSHING INLAND.
LOCATED AT 17/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 260 KM NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
15 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

TC 01A. WARNING 15 ISSUED AT 17/21UTC. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR(VWS) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS OVER  LAND HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE  COMBINATION OF LAND INTERACTION AND RAPIDLY INCREASING VWS AS IT  TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE  IN THE GULF OF KHAMBAHT THROUGH 12H EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM ITSELF  WILL BE CENTERED WELL INLAND. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO FULLY DISSIPATE  AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY 36H AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ARAVALLI  MOUNTAINS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT  TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
TC 01A. WARNING 15 ISSUED AT 17/21UTC. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR(VWS) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LAND INTERACTION AND RAPIDLY INCREASING VWS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE GULF OF KHAMBAHT THROUGH 12H EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM ITSELF WILL BE CENTERED WELL INLAND. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO FULLY DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY 36H AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ARAVALLI MOUNTAINS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.

TC 01A. PEAK INTENSITY WAS 120KNOTS/ US CAT 4.
TC 01A. PEAK INTENSITY WAS 120KNOTS/ US CAT 4.
JMV FILE
0121051212  94N 672E  25
0121051218  94N 687E  20
0121051300  95N 700E  20
0121051306  97N 710E  25
0121051312 101N 714E  30
0121051318 105N 716E  30
0121051400 109N 718E  30
0121051406 114N 720E  40
0121051412 119N 722E  40
0121051418 123N 725E  45
0121051500 128N 730E  50
0121051506 135N 733E  55
0121051512 140N 733E  60
0121051518 144N 731E  65
0121051600 150N 729E  75
0121051606 159N 728E  90
0121051612 168N 726E 100
0121051618 178N 720E 110
0121051700 184N 718E 120
0121051706 192N 714E 115
0121051712 200N 713E 110
0121051718 208N 713E 110
NNNN


TC 01A. 17/1730UTC. MODIS/AQUA CAPTURED THE WELL DEFINED EYE FEATURE AT LANDFALL VERY NEAR JAFARABAD.
TC 01A. 17/1730UTC. MODIS/AQUA CAPTURED THE WELL DEFINED EYE FEATURE AT LANDFALL VERY NEAR JAFARABAD.

17/21UTC. FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED BY THE JTWC ON TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL ISSUED.
17/21UTC. FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED BY THE JTWC ON TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ARE STILL ISSUED.
Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Tuesday, May 18th 2021 à 01:15