TC 01A(TAUKTAE). 17/20UTC. 9H LOOP.ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 37KM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE BD ENHANCEMENT. THE SYSTEM WAS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE SHORELINE AT THE 171800Z HOUR, VERY NEAR TO JAFARABAD, INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE 37KM EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL IS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS/US CAT 3 WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE, REFLECTING THE IMPROVED INFRARED SIGNATURE, COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND WARMER EYE TEMPERATURE.
2021 MAY 17 2115UTC #NORTHINDIAN
TC #01A #TAUKTAE #ARABIANSEA
WARNING 15
As of 18:00 UTC May 17, 2021:
Location: 20.8°N 71.3°E
Maximum Winds: 110 kt ( 205km/h)
Gusts: 135 kt ( 250km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 942 mb
CATEGORY US: 3
RE-INTENSIFIED BRIEFLY UP TO LANDFALL NEAR JAFARABAD/GUJARAT,INDIA. WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY WHILE PUSHING INLAND.
LOCATED AT 17/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 260 KM NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
15 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC #01A #TAUKTAE #ARABIANSEA
WARNING 15
As of 18:00 UTC May 17, 2021:
Location: 20.8°N 71.3°E
Maximum Winds: 110 kt ( 205km/h)
Gusts: 135 kt ( 250km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 942 mb
CATEGORY US: 3
RE-INTENSIFIED BRIEFLY UP TO LANDFALL NEAR JAFARABAD/GUJARAT,INDIA. WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY WHILE PUSHING INLAND.
LOCATED AT 17/18UTC APPROXIMATELY 260 KM NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
15 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC 01A. WARNING 15 ISSUED AT 17/21UTC. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR(VWS) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LAND INTERACTION AND RAPIDLY INCREASING VWS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE GULF OF KHAMBAHT THROUGH 12H EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM ITSELF WILL BE CENTERED WELL INLAND. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO FULLY DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY 36H AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ARAVALLI MOUNTAINS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
JMV FILE
0121051212 94N 672E 25
0121051218 94N 687E 20
0121051300 95N 700E 20
0121051306 97N 710E 25
0121051312 101N 714E 30
0121051318 105N 716E 30
0121051400 109N 718E 30
0121051406 114N 720E 40
0121051412 119N 722E 40
0121051418 123N 725E 45
0121051500 128N 730E 50
0121051506 135N 733E 55
0121051512 140N 733E 60
0121051518 144N 731E 65
0121051600 150N 729E 75
0121051606 159N 728E 90
0121051612 168N 726E 100
0121051618 178N 720E 110
0121051700 184N 718E 120
0121051706 192N 714E 115
0121051712 200N 713E 110
0121051718 208N 713E 110
NNNN
0121051212 94N 672E 25
0121051218 94N 687E 20
0121051300 95N 700E 20
0121051306 97N 710E 25
0121051312 101N 714E 30
0121051318 105N 716E 30
0121051400 109N 718E 30
0121051406 114N 720E 40
0121051412 119N 722E 40
0121051418 123N 725E 45
0121051500 128N 730E 50
0121051506 135N 733E 55
0121051512 140N 733E 60
0121051518 144N 731E 65
0121051600 150N 729E 75
0121051606 159N 728E 90
0121051612 168N 726E 100
0121051618 178N 720E 110
0121051700 184N 718E 120
0121051706 192N 714E 115
0121051712 200N 713E 110
0121051718 208N 713E 110
NNNN
TC 01A. 17/1730UTC. MODIS/AQUA CAPTURED THE WELL DEFINED EYE FEATURE AT LANDFALL VERY NEAR JAFARABAD.