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NORTH INDIAN: Invest 92A up-graded to Medium, expected to consolidate within 24/48hours, 11/00utc update


INVEST 92A IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM: MODERATE CHANCES OF HAVING SUSTAINED WINDS REACHING 35KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTER WITHIN 24HOURS.


INVEST 92A IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM: MODERATE CHANCES OF HAVING SUSTAINED WINDS REACHING 35KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTERWITHIN 24HOURS.
INVEST 92A IS UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM: MODERATE CHANCES OF HAVING SUSTAINED WINDS REACHING 35KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTERWITHIN 24HOURS.
2021 MAY 11 0140UTC #NORTHINDIAN #ARABIANSEA
INVEST 92A 
UPDATE
As of 00:00 UTC May 11, 2021:
Location: 8.0°N 57.5°E
Maximum Winds: 25 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb
LOCATED AT 11/00UTC APPROXIMATELY 590 kM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA, YEMEN.
CURRENT POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT 24HOURS:  UP-GRADED TO MEDIUM

Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
 Cheers,PH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

11/0130UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL  102151Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS DISORGANIZED BANDING  WITH CYCLING CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL  CIRCULATION (LLC).
11/0130UTC. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 102151Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS DISORGANIZED BANDING WITH CYCLING CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC).

INVEST 92A. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATE INVEST 92A IS IN AN  AREA OF FAVORABLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW  ALOFT, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEER AND VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA  SURFACE TEMPERATURE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST  92A WILL CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD OVER  THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
INVEST 92A. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATE INVEST 92A IS IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEER AND VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92A WILL CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.

11/00UTC.
11/00UTC.

Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Tuesday, May 11th 2021 à 06:05