TC 02B(YAAS). 24/09UTC. 6H LOOP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING BUT BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A WIDE SWATH OF DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. IF NECESSARY CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO ANIMATE.
2021 MAY 24 0915UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 2
As of 06:00 UTC May 24, 2021:
Location: 16.8°N 90.0°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 991 mb
INTENSIFYING
LOCATED AT 24/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 620KM SOUTHEAST OF BALESWAR(BALASORE)/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11
KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 2
As of 06:00 UTC May 24, 2021:
Location: 16.8°N 90.0°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt ( 65km/h)
Gusts: 45 kt ( 85km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 991 mb
INTENSIFYING
LOCATED AT 24/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 620KM SOUTHEAST OF BALESWAR(BALASORE)/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11
KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC 02B(YAAS).WARNING 2 ISSUED AT 24/09UTC. TC 02B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-25 KTS) OFFSET BY ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER 24H, THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE, ALLOWING TC 02B TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS/US CAT 1 AT 48H JUST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN WITH DISSIPATION BY 96H.
TC 02B. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NVGM, WHICH HAS THE SYSTEM MAKING LANDFALL SLIGHTLY FURTHER WESTWARD.
TC 02A(YAAS). WARNING 2. FORECAST LANDFALL AREA BETWEEN BALESWAR AND KOLKATA SHORTLY AFTER 48H.
TC 02B. 24/00UTC. AVN INTENSITY GUIDANCE WITH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 75KNOTS AT +48H. USUALLY THE ACTUAL PEAK INTENSITY IS ABOVE THE AVN GUIDANCE.
TC 02B(YAAS). 24/09UTC. Eumetsat. PH.
