TC 02B(YAAS). 25/10UTC. 6H ANIMATION. EXPANDING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC). CLICK TO ANIMATE IF NECESSARY.
2021 MAY 25 0930UTC #NORTHINDIAN #GULFOFBENGAL
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 6
As of 06:00 UTC May 25, 2021:
Location: 18.9°N 88.5°E
Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h)
Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 mb
INTENSIFYING
LOCATED AT 25/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 330KM SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC #02B #YAAS
WARNING 6
As of 06:00 UTC May 25, 2021:
Location: 18.9°N 88.5°E
Maximum Winds: 60 kt ( 110km/h)
Gusts: 75 kt ( 140km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 mb
INTENSIFYING
LOCATED AT 25/06UTC APPROXIMATELY 330KM SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE/ODISHA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KM/H OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
Satellite bulletins are to be found in the comments of this post on JTWC BIS
Cheers,
Patrick Hoareau
M974World
ILES SOEURS
Cyclone Class 4
Cheers,PH.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
TC 02B(YAAS). WARNING 6 ISSUED AT 25/09UTC.TC 02B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY MODERATE RELATIVE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25KTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS UP TO LANDFALL SHORTLY AFTER 26/06UTC. TC 02B WILL CONTINUE SLIGHTLY INTENSIFYING AS IT TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER 12H, THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 15KTS, ALLOWING TC 02B TO REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 65KNOTS/US CAT 1. AFTER 24H, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND MAKE LANDFALL NEAR BHITARKANIKA NATIONAL PARK, INDIA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DECAYING DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND FULLY DISSIPATE BY 72H, IF NOT SOONER.
TC 02B. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH A CROSS-TRACK SPREAD OF 90 KM AT 24H, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK THAT IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.
TC 02B. FORECAST LANDFALL AREA: NEAR BALASORE/ODISHA SHORTLY AFTER 24HOURS.
TC 02B(YAAS). 25/10UTC. Eumetsat. PH.
TC 02B(YAAS). 25/06UTC. GOES-IO US NAVY. PH.
