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25S(JUDE) now subtropical// Invest 90S// Invest 91S// 1609utc



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JTWC IS ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON SS 25S.
JTWC IS ISSUING 3 HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON SS 25S.


SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: SUBTROPICAL STORM 25S(JUDE). 16/06UTC ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY. WARNING 11/FINAL ISSUED AT 16/09UTC

160900Z POSITION NEAR 26.8S 54.4E. 16MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED EASTWARD AND POLEWARD. A 160444Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES WIND SPEEDS OF 40-45 KTS, WHILE ASSISTING WITH CURRENT POSITION ASSESSMENT TO THE WEST OF THIS PARTIAL PASS. ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY LOCATED WITHIN A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE, WITH COOLING (26-27 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG (40+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ENHANCED BY THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH. TC 25S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRANSITIONING INTO AN ASYMMETRIC COLD CORE LOW AS IT TRACKS FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 160600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 24 FEET./
160900Z POSITION NEAR 26.8S 54.4E. 16MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED EASTWARD AND POLEWARD. A 160444Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES WIND SPEEDS OF 40-45 KTS, WHILE ASSISTING WITH CURRENT POSITION ASSESSMENT TO THE WEST OF THIS PARTIAL PASS. ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY LOCATED WITHIN A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE, WITH COOLING (26-27 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG (40+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ENHANCED BY THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH. TC 25S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRANSITIONING INTO AN ASYMMETRIC COLD CORE LOW AS IT TRACKS FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 160600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 24 FEET./


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16/0353UTC HYSAT: RAPID SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION


 

GOOGLE EARTH OVERLAY


Model Diagnostic Plot


16/0830UTC SATELLITE BULLETIN

TPXS11 PGTW 160856

A. SUBTROPICAL STORM 25S (JUDE)

B. 16/0830Z

C. 27.02S

D. 54.35E

E. FIVE/MET9

F. ST1.5/1.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUE YIELDS ST1.5.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   DESSINO

SOUTH INDIAN CEAN: INVEST 90S. 16/06UTC ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY


16/11UTC


SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: INVEST 91S. 16/06UTC ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY


16/12UTC


 


Rédigé par PATRICK HOAREAU le Sunday, March 16th 2025 à 15:44