Western Pacific: quiet// Eastern Pacific: 14E(NORA) intensifying gradually//Atlantic: 09L(IDA) should be making headlines next 3 days,27/06utc updates

WESTERN PACIFIC, INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: NO SUSPECT AREAS.

27/00UTC.

EASTERN PACIFIC. TS 14E(NORA). WARNING 6 ISSUED AT 27/04UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 40KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 75KNOTS/CAT 1 BY 30/00UTC WHILE APPROACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA.

TS 14E(NORA). GUIDANCE.

TS 14E(NORA). HWRF INTENSITY GUIDANCE. 75KNOTS AT +36H.

27/00UTC.

ATLANTIC. TS 09L(IDA). WARNING 3 ISSUED AT 27/03UTC. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 35KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO PEAK AT 95KNOTS/CAT 2 BY 30/00UTC JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL WEST OF MISSISSIPPI DELTA.

TS 09L(IDA). GUIDANCE.

TS 09L(IDA). HWRF GUIDANCE. 94KNOTS AT +84H.

INVEST 98L. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED AT 26/21UTC.FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.4N 42.1W TO 14.3N 45.7W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 42.1W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8-12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE, SITUATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS AND THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST AT 8-12 KTS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

INVEST 98L. GUIDANCE.

INVEST 99L. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED AT 26/14UTC. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.4N 79.0W TO 18.3N 81.0W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 79.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAMAICA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS OF 25-30 KT JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA FROM LAST NIGHT INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM DID NOT HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FRIDAY NIGHT.

27/07UTC.