Western Pacific: TCFA still in force for Invest 98W, Invest 97W and 96W under watch too//Eastern Pacific: Hurricane 08E(HILDA) & TD 10E monitored, 02/06utc updates

INVEST 96W.THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 143.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 140.8E, APPROXIMATELY 575 KM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 022201UTC SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC. A 020109UTC ASCAT-C PARTIAL PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED LLCC AND 15-20 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OFFSET BY LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MODERATE (15-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT INVEST 96W WILL UNDERGO MINIMAL, IF ANY, CONSOLIDATION AS IT PROPAGATES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.

INVEST 98W. THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 154.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 154.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1425 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO-TO. ANIMATED MSI AND A 020237UTC AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH CONVECTION BEGINNING TO WRAP ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. INVEST 98W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (29-30C) SST, AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW OFFSET BY LOW TO MODERATE (15-25 KT) VWS. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 98W WILL UNDERGO MARGINAL CONSOLIDATION AND INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.

EASTERN PACIFIC. HU 08E(HILDA). WARNING 10 ISSUED AT 02/04UTC. INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO BE BELOW 65NOTS/CAT 1 BY 36H.

08E(HILDA). GUIDANCE.

TD 10E. WARNING 2 ISSUED AT 02/04UTC. INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL STORM INTENSITY(35KNOTS) WITHIN 24H.

10E. GUIDANCE.

02/00UTC.

02/00UTC.