North Indian: invest 93A could reach TC intensity in 72hours

https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1817419381676514/

NORTH INDIAN: Arabian Sea

INVEST 93A
As of 00:00 UTC Jun 09, 2019:
Location: 11.0°N 72.1°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mb
ABIO10 PGTW 081800
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
10.4N 72.8E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION. 93A IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF
MARGINAL (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BUT HAS DECENT
OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE (28-30C). GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 93A WILL TRACK NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD, ENTER A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND INTENSIFY TO
35 KNOTS IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.  THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.