https://www.meteo974.re/M974World_r7.html
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Previous publication: https://www.meteo974.re/Calm-and-dry-over-the-Philippines-Nice-frontal-system-over-southwestern-Australia_a834.html
https://www.meteo974.re/Philippines-below-average-rainfall-still-forecast-next-two-weeks-No-TC-development-forecast-for-the-West-Pacific-and-the_a833.html
Location: 13.3°N 146.2°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
ABPW10 PGTW 160200
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.3N 146.2E, APPROXIMATELY 82 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED, SLIGHTLY
ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH SOME FLARING CONVECTION
SHEARED TO THE EAST. A 152029Z F-17 SSMIS 37 GHZ AND 152317Z MHS
METOP-B 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGES SHOW CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE LLC. A 152319Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS TO THE EAST OF THE LLC
SHOWS AN AREA OF 20 KNOT WINDS. 93W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
WITH LOW (10 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING OFFSET BY WARM
(28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE WEAK CIRCULATION DISSIPATING AS IT
TRACKS GENERALLY NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
https://www.meteo974.re/
Previous publication: https://www.meteo974.re/Calm-and-dry-over-the-Philippines-Nice-frontal-system-over-southwestern-Australia_a834.html
https://www.meteo974.re/Philippines-below-average-rainfall-still-forecast-next-two-weeks-No-TC-development-forecast-for-the-West-Pacific-and-the_a833.html
Location: 13.3°N 146.2°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb
ABPW10 PGTW 160200
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.3N 146.2E, APPROXIMATELY 82 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED, SLIGHTLY
ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH SOME FLARING CONVECTION
SHEARED TO THE EAST. A 152029Z F-17 SSMIS 37 GHZ AND 152317Z MHS
METOP-B 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGES SHOW CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE LLC. A 152319Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS TO THE EAST OF THE LLC
SHOWS AN AREA OF 20 KNOT WINDS. 93W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
WITH LOW (10 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING OFFSET BY WARM
(28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE WEAK CIRCULATION DISSIPATING AS IT
TRACKS GENERALLY NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
MICROWAVE DEPICTS A VERY POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH LIMITED CONVECTION REMOVED FROM ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. FNMOC