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SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: TC 16S(ELEANOR). ESTIMATED CURRENT INTENSITY IS 50 KNOTS: + 15 KNOTS OVER 24 HOURS
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UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 20/0530UTC: INTENSIFYING SYSTEM
TPXS13 PGTW 200616
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (ELEANOR)
B. 20/0530Z
C. 13.91S
D. 58.81E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 44A/PBO LARGE CDO/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 80NM IN
DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 2.0. ADDED 1.5 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 3.5.
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
20/0146Z 14.08S 57.92E SSMS
CVACH
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (ELEANOR)
B. 20/0530Z
C. 13.91S
D. 58.81E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 44A/PBO LARGE CDO/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 80NM IN
DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 2.0. ADDED 1.5 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 3.5.
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
20/0146Z 14.08S 57.92E SSMS
CVACH
Model Diagnostic Plot
Ensemble Track Ellipses
Rapid Intensification Guidance RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE NEXT 24/36 HOURS
TC 16S SHOULD BENEFIT FROM INCREASING POLEWARD DIVERGENCE WHICH SHOULD FUEL INTENSIFICATION
AUSTRALIA: OVERLAND REMNANTS OF TC 14P(LINCOLN)
Ensemble Track Ellipses
UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 20/0530UTC: SYSTEM STILL OVERLAND: NO DVORAK CLASSIFICATION
TPPS11 PGTW 200616
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN)
B. 20/0530Z
C. 17.72S
D. 127.00E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN)
B. 20/0530Z
C. 17.72S
D. 127.00E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH