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JTWC IS ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON INVEST 95S.
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: INVEST 95S. ADVISORY(ABIO) ISSUED AT 30/1230UTC.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.7S 36.5E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 95S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Storm Tracks (Ensemble) : 12/30 00UTC+ 10 DAYS
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN: ARABIAN SEA: INVEST 97A.
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