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JTWC IS ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON THE REMNANTS OF TS 01W(SANVU).
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC: REMNANTS OF TS 01W(SANVU). ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY AT 25/06UTC.ADVISORY(ABPW) ISSUED AT 25/06UTC.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 01W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 151.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 148.6E, APPROXIMATELY 286 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLAIRING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. A 242326Z ASCAT-B WINDSPEED IMAGE SHOWS 15 KTS WRAPPING WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH MARGINAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15-20KT) VWS OVER THE LLCC AND WARM (28-29C) SST OFFSET BY DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND STRONG (25KT+) VWS JUST 30NM TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
