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JTWC IS ISSUING 3HOURLY SATELLITE BULLETINS ON THE REMNANTS OF TS 01W(SANVU).
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC: REMNANTS OF TS 01W(SANVU). ESTIMATED LOCATION AND INTENSITY AT 24/06UTC.ADVISORY(ABPW) ISSUED AT 24/06UTC.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 01W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 151.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 151.6E, APPROXIMATELY 426 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, RAGGED, AND PARTLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION SHEARED EASTWARD OF THE LLC. A 240335Z AMSR2 WINDSPEED IMAGE INDICATES A SMALL PATCH OF 18-KT PIXELS UNDER THE CONVECTION AND 10-15KTS AROUND THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KT) VWS OVER THE LLC AND WARM (28-29C) SST OFFSET BY DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND STRONG (25KT+) VWS JUST 30NM TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
