CLICK ON THE IMAGERIES BELOW TO GET THEM ENLARGED
AUSTRALIA: OVERLAND REMNANTS OF TC 07P(KIRRILY). CURRENT ESTIMATED INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS AT 03/00UTC: -15 KNOTS OVER 24 HOURS.
Model Diagnostic Plot
UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 03/0230UTC. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PUSHING FURTHER INLAND
TPPS10 PGTW 030248
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY)
B. 03/0230Z
C. 19.13S
D. 138.29E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY)
B. 03/0230Z
C. 19.13S
D. 138.29E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN: INVEST 95P. ADVISORY(ABPW) ISSUED AT 03/02UTC. THIS SYSTEM IS CLASSIFIED AS SUBTROPICAL.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.2S 175.0W, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NADI. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 022343Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION WITH CURVED LOW-LEVEL FORMATIVE CLOUD BANDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND HIGH (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD TURN AT TAU 36. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD TURN AT TAU 36.
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN: INVEST 94P. THIS SYSTEM IS CLASSIFIED AS SUBTROPICAL.
UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 02/0230UTC.
TPPS11 PGTW 030249
A. SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94P (W OF NEW CALEDONIA)
B. 03/0230Z
C. 19.00S
D. 162.53E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO
CLASSIFY.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH
A. SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94P (W OF NEW CALEDONIA)
B. 03/0230Z
C. 19.00S
D. 162.53E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. THIS SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO
CLASSIFY.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CVACH
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN: REMNANTS OF TC 09S.
Model Diagnostic Plot
UPDATED SATELLITE BULLETIN AT 02/2330UTC. THE CENTER COULD NO LONGER BE FOUND.
TPXS11 PGTW 022353
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (E OF PORT MATHURIN)
B. 02/2330Z
C. XX.XX
D. XXX.XX
E. N/A/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: POSITION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE
FOUND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (E OF PORT MATHURIN)
B. 02/2330Z
C. XX.XX
D. XXX.XX
E. N/A/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: POSITION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE
FOUND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RAE